We view the simultaneous surge across multiple asset classes following U.S. military action in Venezuela as a textbook flight to quality.

Safe havens such as gold and silver are rallying sharply as investors price in elevated geopolitical risk that could persist or escalate.

Oil, for now, remains relatively contained around the $60 per barrel level, which helps limit immediate inflation pressure, but markets are clearly discounting the risk of future energy disruptions and tighter liquidity conditions that may compel the Federal Reserve to keep rates elevated for longer.

This environment highlights a resilient but complex cross-asset setup, where crypto occupies a unique position.

Digital assets continue to trade with risk-asset sensitivity, yet they are increasingly viewed as a hedge against geopolitical instability and long-term monetary debasement.

That dual identity is becoming more pronounced as traditional markets grapple with uncertainty.

From a crypto-specific perspective, on-chain signals remain constructive.

Continued net outflows of BTC and ETH from exchanges, alongside a return to positive ETF inflows and stablecoin supply reaching new highs, point to sustained institutional accumulation rather than broad capitulation.

These dynamics suggest the groundwork is being laid for a rebound at the weekly timeframe, with early signs of renewed momentum emerging across select altcoins.

In the near term, we see Bitcoin pushing toward $105,000, while Ethereum could test the $3,600 level, as traders balance geopolitical risk with crypto’s deflationary characteristics and innovation-driven growth.

Overall, the current backdrop reinforces crypto’s evolving role within global portfolios, not just as a speculative asset, but as a strategic component in navigating an increasingly uncertain macro landscape.

Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget

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